Welcome to a new regular column from an old favourite. The Original Grumpy Old Man (OGOM). This week OGOM looks at the relegation scrap in the PL and renames it the CCC waiting room.
This time last year, on a long forgotten forum dedicated to the idle, I wrote a long piece about the contenders for relegation from the PL in 2008-09 which I subtitled “The Hull Line”, basically stating any team that got above Hull City would stay up (at that point they were 8th or something) and until they did overtake the boys from the KC they remained in a relegation battle. As we know Hull City finished up just above the line themselves (by the skin of some very rotten teeth). This season and a similar number of teams stand in the midst of a 12 team melee with only the team most advanced of the pack, Fulham, looking relatively safe, this unfortunately makes coming up with a snappy clique for this seasons madness problematic, so I won’t bother.
Let’s however be clear, there isn’t just a 12 team competition to avoid the financial despair of relegation (sorry your suggesting there is another despair that goes with relegation are you? Well would have agreed with you once but it must be over a decade since anyone in the media looked at relegation other than a £30M+ disaster), there are two relegation groups of clubs, the first is where the fun is, the stick-on certainties, the clubs with financial issues already, iffy and complicated ownership structures and needing to offload players as we speak and there is a bigger group tossing the hot potato of the last relegation place around which is where the action will be.
This is the crux of the relegation issue; too many clubs are always in the waiting room to the CCC. Some clubs pop in and out every 2 or 3 seasons, some others don’t believe they are ever part of the club and thus when reality hits them Newcastle United/Middlesbrough style it’s more of a shock. In general however about 6-7 clubs will always be in the waiting room season in, season out, that is a third of the PL always worried about relegation (and we call it the best league in the world!). How do the supporters of such clubs cope with the tediousness of season after season striving for 15th? Where is the ambition, the thrust for success, well the term has been reassessed and now equates to just being there. For what exactly pray tell? The dubious honour of seeing your clubs wage bill for average players go idiotic? Pathetic it is and all due to the ridiculous chasm in finance between what is still really Division 1 and Division 2. Occasionally a club bucks the trend and raises the game a little, some fly too close to the sun and burn (Portsmouth) others hopefully, like Fulham can make it into a “outside contenders” club, small at the moment but hopefully growing by the season.
We shall not detain ourselves at this time with an extensive analysis of who is going to be the unlucky third relegated club alongside the stick-on two, its perm 1 from 10. Of that bunch, whilst it’s a shame Stoke City, Everton and Sunderland are in a league with too many poor teams to feel threatened and an act of faith tells you Wigan Athletic and West Ham United will be ok, you are still left with this group of road-blocks: Blackburn Rovers, Bolton Wanderers, Burnley and Wolves. After the decision to play his Sunday pub team at Old Trafford Mick McCarthy has made it difficult for neutrals to care for Wolves and the decision by Burnley to employ Brian Laws makes suggesting they can avoid relegation intellectually problematic. Equally the distain for Blackburn Rovers and Bolton Wanderers is so complete that you wish Gartside and Allardyce could work together again at a merged “Lancashire Lumpits” club so the PL could be rid of both of them. Basically I could waste my time and energy putting the case against all 4 but I’d rather just admit I don’t care which one goes, they are all worthy of relegation, and instead focus on the stick-on two (although if you push me for an answer to has to who will go I’d say Burnley made that decision easy for me today).
Membership of the stick-on group was set almost before the season started, Portsmouth and Hull City and in some respects well deserved it is. Starting with “the humiliated of Hampshire”, a club so in disarray it evokes sympathy from Leeds United fans. Al Faraj may well exist (stc) but he clearly isn’t spending cash, all of Portsmouth’s dealing seems to be predicated on borrowing money off banks. In the midst of all this remains the man who was there in their CCC days, there when the stabilised in the PL under Mandaric, there when the Gaydamak’s came in and the FA Cup was won, there when the wage bill went through the roof (John Utaka, a permanent substitute on £80k a week!!!), there when the money dried up, there during the Al Fahim debacle and is still there as they go from daily crises to daily crises, take a bow Mr Peter Storrie (stopping off at Criminal Court with Mandaric and Redknapp over tax matters).
On the pitch, two successive mistakes in employing L2 standard managers (Adams T and Hart) followed by employing a man who despite once managing Chelsea to a CL final has in fact spent most of the last 4 years doing the non job version of a Director of Football. Grant has not a dot of experience of battling relegation in the PL, he won’t be given the opportunity to wheel and deal, he is stuck with the sub-standard Smith’s, Webber’s Brown’s and Wilson’s of this world and also has to motivate a large group of foreign players who have been messed around something rotten the last 2 seasons. With the likes of James, Kaboul and Belhadji looking to find a club that pays its wages on time the chances of fluky wins at Coventry lifting the season are remote. Pivotal I think is this, their best player whilst being glued to the bottom of the league has been Jamie O’Hara, he is now back at Spurs and that is a miss Pompay can’t afford. In my book they have gone already, it’s just a case of how badly they go down, I suspect they will drag it out until April but will never once give their support any real hope. The fans can look around Fratton Park next season in the CCC and wonder what did those 8 years achieve? Well not a lot financially or in the infrastructure.
Meanwhile on the East Coast sits a basket case of a club desperately hoping Portsmouth beat them to administration. Hull City are a real mess, the owners have literally done a runner, handing over the club to Adam Pearson with a mandate to pass it on to someone else (and if he can get new owners to take on the insolvent debt levels then Mr Duffen and co will be very grateful!). In the meantime the club has publically stated they have to ship out a significant number of players (most of which have contracts that they are unlikely to get elsewhere) all whilst the same squad has struggled all year. Part of Hull City’s issue is what allowed them to rise in the first place, a disengagement between ownership of facilities (the council built KC stadium) and the football club. Factor in the towns relative isolation and its extensive social issues and it’s a wonder they even had last season as a PL club never mind this.
The present squad reflects how fortunate the Tigers were to ever go up and certainly to stay up. Contained within that ridiculously large group of players is very little quality and what little there is gets stifled by Phil Brown (who in my book would be lucky to manager of North Ferriby United if jobs were allocated on ability rather than mates in the media). Doyle, Dawson, Ashbee, Gardner, Barmby, Fagan and Folan, just 7 examples of players not good enough for the PL (and there are another 15 like that) who play alongside the has-beens of Boetang, Kilbane, Mendy, Barmby (yes in twice for a reason, he is both rubbish and past it) and Hesselink who play alongside the compulsory imported likes of Cousin, Sonko, Geovanni, Ghilas, Olofinjani, Halmosi and Altidore. Local young talent has no chance in that set-up, not when the likes of Paul McShane are around. Even the better players have issues, Bullard hardly plays due to injury, Zayatte wants out and Myhill is shell-shocked. Hull City are well and truly doomed, a repeat of their form this time last season and they are down by March. If that happens, put your mortgage on them being the first top flight club to fail to finish the season.
Personally I would like to see the PL bunch up a little, for the relegation candidates not to really emerge until February, for all 20 clubs that start the season to have some form of contention in their make-up. But alas the CL monies will continue to distort the competition for years to come. Whilst I can console myself that Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool may have financial disasters to come, that is not the same as expecting any of them to ever be in a relegation review. Over the next few seasons I hope we do see some unexpected names doing a Newcastle United and been replaced by clubs hitherto outside the largesse of the last 6 years. It wouldn’t do some of the cocky top half clubs any harm to have temporary seats in the CCC waiting room and it certainly would be good for English football.




